Lions of Sabi Sands

[RookiePundit]

(12-30-2021, 11:18 PM)Potato Wrote:

(12-30-2021, 08:54 PM)Duco Ndona Wrote: The Nwas have choosen to split to maintain control.

It is normal that the members of the coalition split on acassions, it is never permament split. Ndzengas did not split into 2 different coalitions.

(12-30-2021, 08:54 PM)Duco Ndona Wrote: With gore declining he may also choose to stay at home

 
Gore looks as good as ever. I do not see any signs of his health declining.

(12-30-2021, 09:16 PM)Slayerd Wrote: They are not seen in many parts of Bboys territory. Not in majority of Londolozi and not in most of Mala Mala

They look entire former Birmingham's territory and even pushed Northern Avocas further north, taking some land from them as well.

(12-30-2021, 10:04 PM)RookiePundit Wrote: The last part is relative though. Not saying Nhenha with a back up would push into Nw's, but the number of coalition members is just the coalition's max strenght. Members of coalition split often and patrol separately if the area they control is getting too big, might favour different prides under their shared control, might not have a strong bond or are just inexperienced to avoid being caught in a sketchy situation without numbers on their side.

Of course we can create scenarios that Nhenha and Nkuchuma male would pick Ndzengas one by one, but it is border line to impossible scenario to happen. What is most likely to happen is that any moment Nkuchuma male with Nhenha would roar in Ndzenga's territory, it would bring attention of all of them and all of them would defend the territory. You talk about "max strenght", but the think is, that it nearly always comes to max strenght, especially if it is about defending territory and not about expanding it. 
It is not much relative. 4vs2 is pretty streight forvard unless we are talking about some monsters in prime like Mjejanes. It would be relative if I would say 2 healty Ndzengas on their own you beat Nkuchuma and Nhenha, but 2vs2, nor even 2vs3 is the case there. In current dynamic, that is there is no larger coalition than 2 members around, Ndzengas are nearly untouchable.

The 5th Majingilane did not intend to split permanently from the rest but he ultimately did as he was caught alone by the 2 Mapogos. Sometimes numbers at the very momment matters if the side in disadvantage can't escape the situation. Doesn't need to be permanent, the aforementioned Mapogo vs Majingilane sonflict is a good example how tides can turn quickly.

I don't think NWAs pushing into Northern Avoca territory at all besides the Mala Mala part Avocas gradually gained over Birmingham throughout this year. At the end it really just matters where they can find Kambulas that is what matters for them. In the process they get familiar with the turf and might developed their preffered paths. They only clash with Northern Avocas as they response to each other roars, unlike Birmingham(s).

Gore's injury looks different on recent footage. Seemed like sunken lower than before and the shape seems bit different - the opposite of it getting absorbed back into the body. Perhaps it is nothing, but doesn't seem to be a positive change or rather Idk how it could be.

Those are different things. Roaring can be viewed as a way to avoid a direct conflict, threatening the opposition and settling boundaries one way or another (can escalate into more if nobody is backing down and and advancing closer instead). If the goal is incurcion on someone else's territory or outright killing a rival, silence is often more useful to catch the other male(s) off guard. In those circumstances, in case of succesful contact, it is not always possible for the side being caught off guard to get reinforcements in time (there might be a chase across properties that could change that and sometimes the chaser become the chased ones if the numbers change in the process; but if the actual fight happens it is usually too later for not-involved memebers of any coalition to get in in time to have an impact, they might retaliate, but rarely they can save a partner - Mr T tried but the numbers were still against them anyway - but coliton members can be spread much further than that). Once the danger is known ofc the coalition with react to that, but with surprise on one side, the total number of a coalition might not matter, the distance will, including the distance kept between the side in case of a possible chase.

But yes, no coalition known to us now, would try to their luck against NWAs, knowing their numbers. They would certainly capitalize on an opportnity of running into a lone Ndheznga somehow, they are just unlikely to actively look for such situation, Ndhzengas would have to do something wrong to get into such a situation. That being said, the health status of lions might change quickly with an impact of numbers game, just this year Sabi Sands lost few males and condition of some others varied a lot as well. Not wishing anything on Ndhzengas, some stability would be great and their succes would be beneficial for Sabi Sands gene pool, a lot of prides are finsihing rearing a first wave of cubs, now sub-adults wtih their current dominant males, so it is a solid timing for some shifting around (unfortunately new cubs might be casualties of this, some already were this year, even sub-adults as well). Reply